The twenty imports Turkey is best placed to replace.
Turkey imported USD 240bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 215bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well and where one country supplies most of them.
Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.
Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Turkey already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Turkey would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.
This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Turkey does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.
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1
Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matterHS 170199
Comes fromMorocco 70%, 43 source countriesNearest export strengthSugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white... (exports USD 851m)Exports of this lineUSD 121mCountries that export it well44Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 329m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 23 per cent (2); Morocco supplies 70 per cent (2).
USD 329mdown 8% on 2022 -
2
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solutionHS 310210
Comes fromOman 56%, 35 source countriesNearest export strengthFertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate... (exports USD 67m)Exports of this lineUSD 59m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 138mCountries that export it well27Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 881m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 25 per cent (2); Oman supplies 56 per cent (1).
USD 881mdown 52% on 2022 -
3
Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or shipsHS 854430
Comes fromMorocco 32%, 78 source countriesNearest export strengthInsulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000... (exports USD 2.5bn)Exports of this lineUSD 446m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 414mCountries that export it well30Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 572m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 8 per cent (3).
USD 572mup 37% on 2022 -
4
Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of...HS 230630
Comes fromRussia 76%, 7 source countriesNearest export strengthOil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the... (exports USD 541m)Exports of this lineUSD 23m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 30mCountries that export it well23Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 377m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1); Russia supplies 76 per cent (2).
USD 377mup 69% on 2022 -
5
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)HS 310530
Comes fromMorocco 70%, 15 source countriesNearest export strengthFertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate... (exports USD 67m)Exports of this lineUSD 105m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 208mCountries that export it well17Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 361m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 31 per cent (1); Morocco supplies 70 per cent (2).
USD 361mup 70% on 2022 -
6
Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale)...HS 950300
Comes fromChina 64%, 102 source countriesNearest export strengthAmusement park rides and water park amusements: water park amusements (exports USD 41m)Exports of this lineUSD 94mCountries that export it well12Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 306m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1); China supplies 64 per cent (2).
USD 306mup 49% on 2022 -
7
Bran, sharps and other residues: of wheat, whether or not in the form of pellets, derived from the sifting, milling or...HS 230230
Comes fromRussia 81%, 18 source countriesNearest export strengthOil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the... (exports USD 541m)Exports of this lineUSD 1m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 97mCountries that export it well49Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 297m, top 8 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 26 per cent (1); Russia supplies 81 per cent (2).
USD 297mdown 8% on 2022 -
8
Copper: refined, unwrought, n.e.c. in item no. 7403.1HS 740319
Comes fromKazakhstan 78%, 14 source countriesNearest export strengthCopper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum... (exports USD 664m)Exports of this lineUSD 39m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 3.2bnCountries that export it well26Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 274m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 27 per cent (1); Kazakhstan supplies 78 per cent (2).
USD 274mfrom USD 19m in 2022 -
9
Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materialsHS 640419
Comes fromChina 37%, 90 source countriesNearest export strengthFootwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64 (exports USD 29m)Exports of this lineUSD 147m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 143mCountries that export it well24Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 488m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 19 per cent (2).
USD 488mup 65% on 2022 -
10
Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or strippedHS 240120
Comes fromBelgium 13%, 42 source countriesNearest export strengthCigarettes: containing tobacco (exports USD 531m)Exports of this lineUSD 94m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 21mCountries that export it well27Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 486m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 15 per cent (2).
USD 486mup 28% on 2022 -
11
Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition...HS 640399
Comes fromVietnam 27%, 96 source countriesNearest export strengthFootwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64 (exports USD 29m)Exports of this lineUSD 290m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 151mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 383m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 16 per cent (2).
USD 383mup 138% on 2022 -
12
Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or...HS 640299
Comes fromChina 40%, 89 source countriesNearest export strengthFootwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64 (exports USD 29m)Exports of this lineUSD 267m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 86mCountries that export it well16Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 361m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1); China supplies 40 per cent (1).
USD 361mup 118% on 2022 -
13
Semiconductor media: smart cards, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37HS 852352
Comes fromChina 47%, 89 source countriesNearest export strengthInsulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000... (exports USD 2.5bn)Exports of this lineUSD 15m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 95mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 263m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1); China supplies 47 per cent (1).
USD 263mup 92% on 2022 -
14
Ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless)HS 720429
Comes fromCanada 45%, 22 source countriesNearest export strengthIron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or... (exports USD 2.0bn)Exports of this lineUSD 9m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 8.0bnCountries that export it well41Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 260m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 44 per cent (1); Canada supplies 45 per cent (1).
USD 260mdown 11% on 2022 -
15
Flours, meals and pellets: of fish or of crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebratesHS 230120
Comes fromMorocco 44%, 35 source countriesNearest export strengthOil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the... (exports USD 541m)Exports of this lineUSD 1m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 59mCountries that export it well34Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 254m, top 10 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 38 per cent (1); Morocco supplies 44 per cent (1).
USD 254mdown 15% on 2022 -
16
Electric motors: AC motors, single-phaseHS 850140
Comes fromChina 73%, 55 source countriesNearest export strengthInsulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000... (exports USD 2.5bn)Exports of this lineUSD 52m; 9 more lines in the heading, USD 919mCountries that export it well14Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 191m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1); China supplies 73 per cent (2).
USD 191mup 14% on 2022 -
17
Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: ungroundHS 251010
Comes fromMorocco 80%, 7 source countriesNearest export strengthCement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially... (exports USD 840m)Exports of this lineUSD 11k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 72mCountries that export it well12Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 140m, top 18 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 42 per cent (1); Morocco supplies 80 per cent (2).
USD 140mup 34% on 2022 -
18
Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, with electric motor for propulsion, with or...HS 871160
Comes fromChina 86%, 22 source countriesNearest export strengthVehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston... (exports USD 6.2bn)Exports of this lineUSD 45m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 1.1bnCountries that export it well16Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 91m, top 25 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); China supplies 86 per cent (2).
USD 91mup 95% on 2022 -
19
Hats and other headgear: knitted or crocheted, or made up from lace, felt or other textile fabric, in the piece (but...HS 650500
Comes fromChina 74%, 100 source countriesNearest export strengthHeadgear: safety, whether or not lined or trimmed (exports USD 55m)Exports of this lineUSD 76mCountries that export it well20Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 48m, top 42 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); China supplies 74 per cent (2).
USD 48mup 46% on 2022 -
20
Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants: prepared or preserved, whether or not containing added sugar, other...HS 200899
Comes fromIran 69%, 54 source countriesNearest export strengthNuts and other seeds: whether or not containing added sugar, other... (exports USD 1.1bn)Exports of this lineUSD 52mCountries that export it well37Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 41m, top 47 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Turkey's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); Iran supplies 69 per cent (2).
USD 41mup 165% on 2022
One line per customs heading. Products Turkey already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.
Scale conversations, not capability ones.
- Vehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine... imports USD 2.0bn, exports USD 484m, top source Spain 42%
- Cotton: not carded or combed imports USD 1.5bn, exports USD 474m, top source Brazil 31%
- Tractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with only compression-ignition... imports USD 1.4bn, exports USD 717m, top source France 26%
- Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of... imports USD 1.1bn, exports USD 495m, top source China 35%
- Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of... imports USD 616m, exports USD 77m, top source Romania 55%
- Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of... imports USD 740m, exports USD 248m, top source China 67%
- Amino-resins: n.e.c. in heading no. 3909, in primary forms, poly(methylene... imports USD 502m, exports USD 140m, top source China 29%
- Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional... imports USD 1.0bn, exports USD 664m, top source Russia 69%
- Vehicle parts: drive-axles with differential, whether or not provided with... imports USD 802m, exports USD 456m, top source Germany 38%
- Ammonia: anhydrous imports USD 376m, exports USD 120m, top source Algeria 35%
Three scores, each from a field the record carries.
Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 1979 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.
Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.
Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.
Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.
A map of where to look.
Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.
Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-02. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.
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