The twenty imports Sri Lanka is best placed to replace.
Sri Lanka imported USD 13bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 10bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well and where one country supplies most of them.
Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.
Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Sri Lanka already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Sri Lanka would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.
This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Sri Lanka does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.
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1
Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)HS 252310
Comes fromPakistan 54%, 10 source countriesNearest export strengthQuartz: other than natural sands (exports USD 5m)Exports of this linenone recorded; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 51mCountries that export it well36Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 102m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 4 per cent (3); Pakistan supplies 54 per cent (1).
USD 102mup 27% on 2022 -
2
Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not...HS 520524
Comes fromIndia 75%, 8 source countriesNearest export strengthFabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns... (exports USD 3m)Exports of this lineUSD 251k; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 50mCountries that export it well15Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 33m, top 24 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 8 per cent (3); India supplies 75 per cent (2).
USD 33mdown 32% on 2022 -
3
Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matterHS 170199
Comes fromIndia 59%, 23 source countriesNearest export strengthSugars: n.e.c. in heading no. 1702, including invert sugar and other... (exports USD 3m)Exports of this lineUSD 481kCountries that export it well44Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 364m, top 0 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 14 per cent (2); India supplies 59 per cent (1).
USD 364mup 179% on 2022 -
4
TankersHS 890120
Comes fromIndia 100%, 1 source countryNearest export strengthVessels: n.e.c. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and... (exports USD 51m)Exports of this linenone recordedCountries that export it well20Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 128m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1); India supplies 100 per cent (2).
USD 128mup 367% on 2022 -
5
Fabrics, woven: of synthetic staple fibres, containing 85% or more by weight of polyester staple fibres, other than...HS 551219
Comes fromChina 76%, 40 source countriesNearest export strengthSewing thread: of synthetic staple fibres, whether or not put up for... (exports USD 4m)Exports of this lineUSD 695kCountries that export it well13Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 99m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 30 per cent (1); China supplies 76 per cent (2).
USD 99mfrom USD 8m in 2022 -
6
Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale)...HS 950300
Comes fromChina 99%, 45 source countriesNearest export strengthWater sport equipment: water-skis, surf-boards and other water-sport... (exports USD 39m)Exports of this lineUSD 31mCountries that export it well12Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 76m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 38 per cent (1); China supplies 99 per cent (2).
USD 76mdown 4% on 2022 -
7
Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plasticsHS 721070
Comes fromChina 69%, 12 source countriesNearest export strengthIron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, forged, hot-rolled... (exports USD 1m)Exports of this lineUSD 13kCountries that export it well25Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 68m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1); China supplies 69 per cent (2).
USD 68mup 42% on 2022 -
8
Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.c. in heading 7308HS 730890
Comes fromChina 77%, 40 source countriesNearest export strengthIron or steel: nails, tacks, drawing pins, corrugated nails, staples... (exports USD 41m)Exports of this lineUSD 5m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 11mCountries that export it well33Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 39m, top 19 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 24 per cent (2); China supplies 77 per cent (2).
USD 39mup 48% on 2022 -
9
Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses...HS 300490
Comes fromIndia 57%, 63 source countriesNearest export strengthFood preparations: n.e.c. in item no. 2106.10Exports of this lineUSD 7m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 23mCountries that export it well32Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 349m, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1); India supplies 57 per cent (1).
USD 349mup 76% on 2022 -
10
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solutionHS 310210
Comes fromQatar 28%, 20 source countriesNearest export strengthFertilizers, animal or vegetable: whether or not mixed together or... (exports USD 5m)Exports of this lineUSD 8k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 14mCountries that export it well27Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 106m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 23 per cent (2).
USD 106mdown 27% on 2022 -
11
Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mmHS 740811
Comes fromUnited Arab Emirates 77%, 6 source countriesNearest export strengthCopper: copper-zinc base alloys (brass) unwrought (exports USD 12m)Exports of this lineUSD 2kCountries that export it well25Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 63m, top 11 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1); United Arab Emirates supplies 77 per cent (2).
USD 63mup 6% on 2022 -
12
Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex...HS 400122
Comes fromThailand 36%, 10 source countriesNearest export strengthRubber: tyres n.e.c. in heading no. 4012 (exports USD 451m)Exports of this lineUSD 2mCountries that export it well15Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 57m, top 12 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 7 per cent (3).
USD 57mdown 1% on 2022 -
13
Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording...HS 852872
Comes fromChina 69%, 30 source countriesNearest export strengthInsulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring... (exports USD 36m)Exports of this lineUSD 143kCountries that export it well17Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 52m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 31 per cent (1); China supplies 69 per cent (2).
USD 52mup 380% on 2022 -
14
Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of...HS 720719
Comes fromSouth Africa 92%, 5 source countriesNearest export strengthIron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, forged, hot-rolled... (exports USD 1m)Exports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 150mCountries that export it well20Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 28m, top 29 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); South Africa supplies 92 per cent (2).
USD 28mup 203% on 2022 -
15
Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, dyed, plain weave, weighing more than 100g/m2 but not more...HS 520832
Comes fromIndia 90%, 26 source countriesNearest export strengthFabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns... (exports USD 3m)Exports of this lineUSD 23k; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 60mCountries that export it well15Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 26m, top 31 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); India supplies 90 per cent (2).
USD 26mdown 23% on 2022 -
16
Tugs and pusher craftHS 890400
Comes fromIndia 83%, 5 source countriesNearest export strengthVessels: n.e.c. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and... (exports USD 51m)Exports of this lineUSD 24kCountries that export it well22Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 23m, top 38 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 18 per cent (2); India supplies 83 per cent (2).
USD 23mdown 73% on 2022 -
17
Yarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex), textured, of polyesters, not for retail sale, not...HS 540233
Comes fromChina 60%, 25 source countriesNearest export strengthYarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex)... (exports USD 7m)Exports of this lineUSD 2m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 50mCountries that export it well13Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 38m, top 20 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 35 per cent (1); China supplies 60 per cent (1).
USD 38mup 44% on 2022 -
18
Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water...HS 690721
Comes fromIndia 71%, 14 source countriesNearest export strengthTableware and kitchenware: of porcelain or china (exports USD 20m)Exports of this lineUSD 2mCountries that export it well16Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 31m, top 26 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 29 per cent (1); India supplies 71 per cent (2).
USD 31mup 328% on 2022 -
19
Fabrics, woven: of polyester staple fibres n.e.c. in chapter 55, mixed mainly or solely with viscose rayon staple fibresHS 551511
Comes fromIndia 64%, 22 source countriesNearest export strengthSewing thread: of synthetic staple fibres, whether or not put up for... (exports USD 4m)Exports of this lineUSD 994kCountries that export it well8Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 29m, top 28 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 38 per cent (1); India supplies 64 per cent (2).
USD 29mdown 14% on 2022 -
20
Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, n.e.c. in heading no. 3104HS 310490
Comes fromUzbekistan 66%, 16 source countriesNearest export strengthFertilizers, animal or vegetable: whether or not mixed together or... (exports USD 5m)Exports of this lineUSD 2k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 24mCountries that export it well22Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 26m, top 31 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Sri Lanka's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1); Uzbekistan supplies 66 per cent (2).
USD 26mfrom USD 13k in 2022
One line per customs heading. Products Sri Lanka already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.
Scale conversations, not capability ones.
- Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than... imports USD 302m, exports USD 29m, top source China 28%
- Aeroplanes and other aircraft, except unmanned: of an unladen weight exceeding... imports USD 248m, exports USD 124m, top source France 51%
- Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to... imports USD 117m, exports USD 8m, top source China 41%
- Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, dyed, of weaves... imports USD 97m, exports USD 2m, top source India 46%
- Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to... imports USD 135m, exports USD 47m, top source India 67%
- Fabrics: narrow (excluding pile fabrics), containing by weight 5% or more of... imports USD 98m, exports USD 21m, top source Hong Kong 34%
- Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of... imports USD 63m, exports USD 3m, top source Pakistan 55%
- Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to... imports USD 88m, exports USD 31m, top source Hong Kong 35%
- Fabrics, woven: containing less than 85% by weight of cotton, mixed mainly or... imports USD 42m, exports USD 1m, top source China 57%
- Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to... imports USD 39m, exports USD 465k, top source India 92%
Three scores, each from a field the record carries.
Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 265 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.
Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.
Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.
Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.
A map of where to look.
Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.
Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-02. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.
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