The twenty imports Poland is best placed to replace.
Poland imported USD 346bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 329bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well and where one country supplies most of them.
Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.
Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Poland already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Poland would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.
This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Poland does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.
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1
Ammunition: cartridges and parts thereof n.e.c. in heading no. 9306HS 930630
Comes fromSouth Korea 62%, 33 source countriesNearest export strengthAmmunition: n.e.c. in chapter 93 (exports USD 1.9bn)Exports of this lineUSD 26m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 36mCountries that export it well27Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 447m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 23 per cent (2); South Korea supplies 62 per cent (2).
USD 447mup 329% on 2022 -
2
Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of...HS 230630
Comes fromUkraine 91%, 16 source countriesNearest export strengthDog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding (exports USD 2.2bn)Exports of this lineUSD 16mCountries that export it well23Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 138m, top 21 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 3 per cent (3); Ukraine supplies 91 per cent (2).
USD 138mup 1% on 2022 -
3
Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehiclesHS 871000
Comes fromSouth Korea 77%, 21 source countriesNearest export strengthVehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston... (exports USD 5.1bn)Exports of this lineUSD 105mCountries that export it well19Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 1.4bn, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1); South Korea supplies 77 per cent (2).
USD 1.4bnup 482% on 2022 -
4
Paper and paperboard: uncoated, fluting paper other than semi-chemical or straw, rolls or sheetsHS 480519
Comes fromGermany 66%, 24 source countriesNearest export strengthPaper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of... (exports USD 716m)Exports of this lineUSD 59m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 219mCountries that export it well24Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 416m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 48 per cent (1); Germany supplies 66 per cent (2).
USD 416mdown 18% on 2022 -
5
Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves...HS 721420
Comes fromGermany 60%, 34 source countriesNearest export strengthFerrous waste and scrap: n.e.c. in heading no. 7204 (exports USD 770m)Exports of this lineUSD 90mCountries that export it well45Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 335m, top 10 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 30 per cent (1); Germany supplies 60 per cent (2).
USD 335mdown 3% on 2022 -
6
Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other...HS 870590
Comes fromUnited States 41%, 33 source countriesNearest export strengthVehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston... (exports USD 5.1bn)Exports of this lineUSD 107m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 93mCountries that export it well26Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 236m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 24 per cent (2); United States supplies 41 per cent (1).
USD 236mup 6% on 2022 -
7
Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled...HS 440712
Comes fromSweden 36%, 21 source countriesNearest export strengthWood: pallets, box pallets and other load boards: pallet collars (exports USD 683m)Exports of this lineUSD 50m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 125mCountries that export it well21Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 200m, top 15 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 6 per cent (3).
USD 200mdown 12% on 2022 -
8
Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width less than 600mm, plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)HS 721230
Comes fromGermany 65%, 31 source countriesNearest export strengthFerrous waste and scrap: n.e.c. in heading no. 7204 (exports USD 770m)Exports of this lineUSD 38m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 66mCountries that export it well27Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 150m, top 19 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 33 per cent (1); Germany supplies 65 per cent (2).
USD 150mdown 8% on 2022 -
9
Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, agglomerated in wood pelletsHS 440131
Comes fromUkraine 69%, 31 source countriesNearest export strengthWood: pallets, box pallets and other load boards: pallet collars (exports USD 683m)Exports of this lineUSD 41m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 23mCountries that export it well21Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 52m, top 47 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 25 per cent (2); Ukraine supplies 69 per cent (2).
USD 52mdown 36% on 2022 -
10
Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses...HS 300490
Comes fromGermany 25%, 75 source countriesNearest export strengthMedicaments: containing corticosteroid hormones, their derivatives... (exports USD 224m)Exports of this lineUSD 2.8bn; 6 more lines in the heading, USD 1.3bnCountries that export it well32Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 5.6bn, top 0 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 34 per cent (1).
USD 5.6bnup 15% on 2022 -
11
Aluminium: unwrought, alloysHS 760120
Comes fromNorway 27%, 51 source countriesNearest export strengthAluminium: articles n.e.c. in heading 7616 (exports USD 865m)Exports of this lineUSD 481m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 453mCountries that export it well35Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.6bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 32 per cent (1).
USD 1.6bndown 22% on 2022 -
12
Copper: waste and scrapHS 740400
Comes fromGermany 33%, 43 source countriesNearest export strengthCopper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes (exports USD 2.6bn)Exports of this lineUSD 605mCountries that export it well76Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 922m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 30 per cent (1).
USD 922mdown 8% on 2022 -
13
Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary formsHS 390210
Comes fromGermany 22%, 53 source countriesNearest export strengthPlastics: other articles n.e.c. in chapter 39 (exports USD 2.3bn)Exports of this lineUSD 352m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 580mCountries that export it well26Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 833m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1).
USD 833mdown 18% on 2022 -
14
Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018HS 901890
Comes fromGermany 22%, 92 source countriesNearest export strengthHearing aids (excluding parts and accessories) (exports USD 1.3bn)Exports of this lineUSD 798m; 8 more lines in the heading, USD 850mCountries that export it well23Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 791m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 42 per cent (1).
USD 791mup 39% on 2022 -
15
Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94HS 390110
Comes fromNetherlands 19%, 54 source countriesNearest export strengthPlastics: other articles n.e.c. in chapter 39 (exports USD 2.3bn)Exports of this lineUSD 112m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 1.2bnCountries that export it well28Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 718m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1).
USD 718mdown 24% on 2022 -
16
Pumps and compressors: parts, of air or vacuum pumps, air or other gas compressors and fans, ventilating or recycling...HS 841490
Comes fromChina 33%, 72 source countriesNearest export strengthTurbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers (exports USD 2.8bn)Exports of this lineUSD 186m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 551mCountries that export it well24Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 494m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).
USD 494mup 7% on 2022 -
17
Electrical apparatus: switches n.e.c. in heading no. 8536, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 voltsHS 853650
Comes fromGermany 35%, 109 source countriesNearest export strengthElectric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or... (exports USD 7.4bn)Exports of this lineUSD 282m; 6 more lines in the heading, USD 1.2bnCountries that export it well29Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 446m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1).
USD 446mup 0% on 2022 -
18
Machines and mechanical appliances: parts, of those having individual functionsHS 847990
Comes fromGermany 34%, 71 source countriesNearest export strengthTurbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers (exports USD 2.8bn)Exports of this lineUSD 272m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 331mCountries that export it well22Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 422m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1).
USD 422mup 20% on 2022 -
19
T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crochetedHS 610990
Comes fromGermany 24%, 118 source countriesNearest export strengthJerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of... (exports USD 676m)Exports of this lineUSD 192mCountries that export it well41Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 413m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 42 per cent (1).
USD 413mup 41% on 2022 -
20
Electrical transformers, static converters and inductors: parts thereofHS 850490
Comes fromChina 21%, 65 source countriesNearest export strengthElectric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or... (exports USD 7.4bn)Exports of this lineUSD 215m; 6 more lines in the heading, USD 386mCountries that export it well25Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 357m, top 9 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Poland's export strengths in the top 39 per cent (1).
USD 357mup 13% on 2022
One line per customs heading. Products Poland already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.
Scale conversations, not capability ones.
- Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and... imports USD 5.3bn, exports USD 2.3bn, top source Japan 20%
- Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of... imports USD 1.9bn, exports USD 829m, top source Germany 29%
- T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted imports USD 1.6bn, exports USD 672m, top source Bangladesh 37%
- Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and... imports USD 1.3bn, exports USD 522m, top source China 27%
- Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished... imports USD 990m, exports USD 233m, top source Germany 19%
- Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton... imports USD 1.4bn, exports USD 676m, top source Germany 21%
- Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made... imports USD 1.2bn, exports USD 606m, top source China 27%
- Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of... imports USD 1.4bn, exports USD 768m, top source Bangladesh 29%
- Vehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine... imports USD 2.8bn, exports USD 2.2bn, top source Germany 41%
- Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of... imports USD 1.2bn, exports USD 728m, top source Bangladesh 33%
Three scores, each from a field the record carries.
Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 2389 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.
Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.
Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.
Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.
A map of where to look.
Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.
Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-02. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.
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