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The twenty imports Lithuania is best placed to replace.

Lithuania imported USD 32bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 29bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well and where one country supplies most of them.

USD 1.2bnthe twenty, imported in 2024
79products imported at scale, not yet exported well, and close to existing strengths
1215products Lithuania already exports well
630product lines imported at USD 10m or more
The twenty

Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.

Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Lithuania already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Lithuania would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.

This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Lithuania does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.

  1. 1

    Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and...HS 481159

    Comes fromPoland 63%, 29 source countries
    Nearest export strengthPaper articles: toilet paper (exports USD 42m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 11m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 43m
    Countries that export it well26

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 43m, top 23 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1); Poland supplies 63 per cent (2).

    USD 43mup 25% on 2022
  2. 2

    Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708HS 870899

    Comes fromGermany 32%, 62 source countries
    Nearest export strengthTractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with only... (exports USD 247m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 122m; 9 more lines in the heading, USD 351m
    Countries that export it well28

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 165m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 45 per cent (1).

    USD 165mdown 12% on 2022
  3. 3

    Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, not fitted with connectorsHS 854449

    Comes fromPoland 16%, 53 source countries
    Nearest export strengthBoards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric... (exports USD 381m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 64m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 82m
    Countries that export it well35

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 163m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 31 per cent (1).

    USD 163mup 4% on 2022
  4. 4

    Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments...HS 330499

    Comes fromPoland 21%, 73 source countries
    Nearest export strengthHair preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3305 (exports USD 43m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 81m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 12m
    Countries that export it well30

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 145m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 39 per cent (1).

    USD 145mdown 16% on 2022
  5. 5

    Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other...HS 870590

    Comes fromFrance 55%, 20 source countries
    Nearest export strengthTractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with only... (exports USD 247m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 10m
    Countries that export it well26

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 68m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 32 per cent (1); France supplies 55 per cent (1).

    USD 68mup 93% on 2022
  6. 6

    Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins (diapers), napkin liners and similar articles, of any materialHS 961900

    Comes fromPoland 56%, 35 source countries
    Nearest export strengthBrooms, brushes, mops, feather dusters, squeegees, hand operated... (exports USD 20m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 21m
    Countries that export it well34

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 68m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 37 per cent (1); Poland supplies 56 per cent (1).

    USD 68mup 10% on 2022
  7. 7

    Plastics: boxes, cases, crates and similar articles for the conveyance or packing of goodsHS 392310

    Comes fromPoland 40%, 47 source countries
    Nearest export strengthPoly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity... (exports USD 591m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 23m
    Countries that export it well44

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 52m, top 19 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1); Poland supplies 40 per cent (1).

    USD 52mup 14% on 2022
  8. 8

    Plaster, or plaster compositions: boards, sheets, panels, tiles and similar articles, faced or reinforced with paper...HS 680911

    Comes fromLatvia 81%, 12 source countries
    Nearest export strengthSlag wool, rock wool and similar mineral wools (including... (exports USD 52m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 270k
    Countries that export it well32

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 24m, top 45 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 25 per cent (1); Latvia supplies 81 per cent (2).

    USD 24mdown 1% on 2022
  9. 9

    Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity not exceeding 650kVAHS 850421

    Comes fromTurkey 77%, 21 source countries
    Nearest export strengthBoards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric... (exports USD 381m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 397k; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 177m
    Countries that export it well29

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 24m, top 46 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 36 per cent (1); Turkey supplies 77 per cent (2).

    USD 24mup 20% on 2022
  10. 10

    Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, rigid, of polymers of ethyleneHS 391721

    Comes fromEstonia 41%, 26 source countries
    Nearest export strengthPoly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity... (exports USD 591m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 4m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 66m
    Countries that export it well40

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 23m, top 47 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 24 per cent (2); Estonia supplies 41 per cent (1).

    USD 23mdown 19% on 2022
  11. 11

    Chocolate & other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars weighing more than 2kg or in liquid...HS 180620

    Comes fromPoland 31%, 34 source countries
    Nearest export strengthChocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in... (exports USD 145m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 5m
    Countries that export it well20

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 67m, top 13 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1).

    USD 67mup 73% on 2022
  12. 12

    Perfumes and toilet watersHS 330300

    Comes fromFrance 19%, 60 source countries
    Nearest export strengthHair preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3305 (exports USD 43m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 39m
    Countries that export it well19

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 60m, top 15 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).

    USD 60mdown 51% on 2022
  13. 13

    Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or lessHS 220421

    Comes fromItaly 27%, 44 source countries
    Nearest export strengthBeer: made from malt (exports USD 84m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 28m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 35m
    Countries that export it well21

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 55m, top 17 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 44 per cent (1).

    USD 55mdown 71% on 2022
  14. 14

    Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)HS 840999

    Comes fromGermany 31%, 63 source countries
    Nearest export strengthAir conditioning machines: containing a motor driven fan, other than... (exports USD 101m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 27m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 25m
    Countries that export it well28

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 50m, top 19 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 48 per cent (1).

    USD 50mup 13% on 2022
  15. 15

    Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materialsHS 640419

    Comes fromPoland 35%, 86 source countries
    Nearest export strengthFootwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64 (exports USD 8m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 11m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 17m
    Countries that export it well24

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 47m, top 21 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1).

    USD 47mup 6% on 2022
  16. 16

    Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, covering the ankle, outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather...HS 640391

    Comes fromPoland 28%, 78 source countries
    Nearest export strengthFootwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64 (exports USD 8m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 13m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 68m
    Countries that export it well29

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 44m, top 23 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).

    USD 44mdown 15% on 2022
  17. 17

    Mastics: painters' fillingsHS 321410

    Comes fromEstonia 34%, 39 source countries
    Nearest export strengthPaints and varnishes: based on acrylic or vinyl polymers, dispersed... (exports USD 11m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 12m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 34m
    Countries that export it well25

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 41m, top 25 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 50 per cent (1).

    USD 41mdown 0% on 2022
  18. 18

    T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crochetedHS 610910

    Comes fromPoland 42%, 92 source countries
    Nearest export strengthT-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than... (exports USD 46m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 17m
    Countries that export it well38

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 40m, top 26 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 38 per cent (1); Poland supplies 42 per cent (1).

    USD 40mdown 1% on 2022
  19. 19

    Aluminium: casks, drums, cans, boxes and the like for any material (not compressed or liquefied gas), 300l capacity or...HS 761290

    Comes fromPoland 60%, 28 source countries
    Nearest export strengthAluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading... (exports USD 115m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 3m
    Countries that export it well42

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 38m, top 28 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 33 per cent (1); Poland supplies 60 per cent (1).

    USD 38mup 17% on 2022
  20. 20

    Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crochetedHS 611020

    Comes fromPoland 41%, 81 source countries
    Nearest export strengthT-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than... (exports USD 46m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 8m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 35m
    Countries that export it well37

    Score 3 of 8: import bill USD 30m, top 37 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Lithuania's export strengths in the top 46 per cent (1); Poland supplies 41 per cent (1).

    USD 30mdown 13% on 2022

One line per customs heading. Products Lithuania already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.

Made here already, still imported

Scale conversations, not capability ones.

  • Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.c. in heading no.... imports USD 1.3bn, exports USD 749m, top source Germany 17%
  • Tractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with only compression-ignition... imports USD 475m, exports USD 247m, top source Germany 29%
  • Vehicles: with only compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine... imports USD 346m, exports USD 153m, top source Germany 20%
  • Tractors: road tractors for semi-trailers, with other propulsion methods... imports USD 112m, exports USD 13m, top source Germany 57%
  • Mountings, fittings and similar articles: suitable for furniture of base metal imports USD 112m, exports USD 37m, top source Slovakia 33%
  • Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded... imports USD 147m, exports USD 74m, top source Algeria 47%
  • Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements... imports USD 154m, exports USD 84m, top source Morocco 44%
  • Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other... imports USD 111m, exports USD 47m, top source Poland 54%
  • Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes, pipes and hollow profiles (not... imports USD 74m, exports USD 14m, top source Poland 38%
  • Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding imports USD 102m, exports USD 49m, top source Poland 36%
How the twenty were chosen

Three scores, each from a field the record carries.

Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 630 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.

Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.

Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.

Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.

What it cannot tell you

A map of where to look.

Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.

Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-02. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.

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