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The twenty imports Guinea is best placed to replace.

Guinea imported USD 6.4bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 28m. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well and where one country supplies most of them.

USD 1.2bnthe twenty, imported in 2024
64products imported at scale, not yet exported well, and close to existing strengths
32products Guinea already exports well
130product lines imported at USD 10m or more
The twenty

Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.

Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Guinea already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Guinea would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.

This edition is trade and capability only, scored out of 8. The UK edition adds which public bodies buy each product and which region holds the capability; those layers are built only where a country publishes contract awards and regional trade, and Guinea does not publish them in a form this record can read yet.

  1. 1

    Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matterHS 170199

    Comes fromBrazil 75%, 16 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well44

    Score 8 of 8: import bill USD 195m, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 9 per cent (3); Brazil supplies 75 per cent (2).

    USD 195mup 97% on 2022
  2. 2

    Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or...HS 640299

    Comes fromChina 76%, 14 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 11k; 1 more line in the heading, USD 13m
    Countries that export it well16

    Score 8 of 8: import bill USD 95m, top 6 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 5 per cent (3); China supplies 76 per cent (2).

    USD 95mup 96% on 2022
  3. 3

    Vessels: light, fire-floats, floating cranes and other vessels, the navigability of which is subsidiary to their main...HS 890590

    Comes fromChina 100%, 1 source country
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well22

    Score 8 of 8: import bill USD 95m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 2 per cent (3); China supplies 100 per cent (2).

    USD 95mup 215% on 2022
  4. 4

    Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves...HS 721420

    Comes fromChina 85%, 7 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well45

    Score 8 of 8: import bill USD 84m, top 8 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 8 per cent (3); China supplies 85 per cent (2).

    USD 84mup 108% on 2022
  5. 5

    Vessels: n.e.c. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons...HS 890190

    Comes fromChina 100%, 3 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well19

    Score 7 of 8: import bill USD 98m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 11 per cent (2); China supplies 100 per cent (2).

    USD 98mup 124% on 2022
  6. 6

    Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with an auxiliary motor, internal combustion piston engine, of...HS 871120

    Comes fromIndia 66%, 15 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 337k
    Countries that export it well12

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 142m, top 3 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); India supplies 66 per cent (2).

    USD 142mup 21% on 2022
  7. 7

    Cigarettes: containing tobaccoHS 240220

    Comes fromPoland 76%, 8 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 1k
    Countries that export it well41

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 45m, top 18 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 12 per cent (2); Poland supplies 76 per cent (2).

    USD 45mdown 62% on 2022
  8. 8

    Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)HS 252310

    Comes fromEgypt 47%, 7 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 23m
    Countries that export it well36

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 40m, top 22 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 1 per cent (3); Egypt supplies 47 per cent (1).

    USD 40mdown 29% on 2022
  9. 9

    T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crochetedHS 610990

    Comes fromChina 94%, 18 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well41

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 34m, top 28 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 5 per cent (3); China supplies 94 per cent (2).

    USD 34mup 120% on 2022
  10. 10

    Tugs and pusher craftHS 890400

    Comes fromChina 68%, 2 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well22

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 33m, top 29 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 2 per cent (3); China supplies 68 per cent (2).

    USD 33mup 449% on 2022
  11. 11

    Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.c. in heading no. 1901HS 190190

    Comes fromIreland 55%, 19 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 3k
    Countries that export it well39

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 59m, top 11 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 12 per cent (2); Ireland supplies 55 per cent (1).

    USD 59mdown 4% on 2022
  12. 12

    Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording...HS 852872

    Comes fromIvory Coast 65%, 27 source countries
    Nearest export strengthWaste and scrap of lead-acid accumulators: spent lead-acid... (exports USD 2m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 2k
    Countries that export it well17

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 58m, top 12 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); Ivory Coast supplies 65 per cent (2).

    USD 58mup 273% on 2022
  13. 13

    Cement, concrete or artificial stone: articles (other than prefabricated structural components for building or civil...HS 681099

    Comes fromChina 96%, 8 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded
    Countries that export it well22

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 51m, top 14 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 33 per cent (1); China supplies 96 per cent (2).

    USD 51mfrom USD 4m in 2022
  14. 14

    Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goodsHS 870410

    Comes fromChina 98%, 4 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 172m
    Countries that export it well21

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 44m, top 19 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 26 per cent (1); China supplies 98 per cent (2).

    USD 44mup 330% on 2022
  15. 15

    Soups and broths and preparations thereforHS 210410

    Comes fromIvory Coast 48%, 13 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 3k
    Countries that export it well31

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 38m, top 23 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); Ivory Coast supplies 48 per cent (1).

    USD 38mup 158% on 2022
  16. 16

    Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasoningsHS 210390

    Comes fromBelgium 50%, 20 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 3k
    Countries that export it well45

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 37m, top 24 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 17 per cent (2); Belgium supplies 50 per cent (1).

    USD 37mdown 13% on 2022
  17. 17

    Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.c. in heading no. 7213, of...HS 721391

    Comes fromChina 84%, 3 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 14m
    Countries that export it well31

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 30m, top 35 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 21 per cent (2); China supplies 84 per cent (2).

    USD 30mup 132% on 2022
  18. 18

    Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water...HS 690723

    Comes fromSenegal 77%, 10 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded; 1 more line in the heading, USD 18m
    Countries that export it well25

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 24m, top 42 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 15 per cent (2); Senegal supplies 77 per cent (2).

    USD 24mup 215% on 2022
  19. 19

    Bulldozers and angledozers: self-propelled, track layingHS 842911

    Comes fromChina 91%, 6 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this linenone recorded; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 220m
    Countries that export it well18

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 24m, top 42 per cent of candidates (1); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 20 per cent (2); China supplies 91 per cent (2).

    USD 24mup 204% on 2022
  20. 20

    Fish preparations: sardines, sardinella and brisling or sprats, prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not...HS 160413

    Comes fromMorocco 94%, 9 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone in the same chapter
    Exports of this lineUSD 9k
    Countries that export it well19

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 18m, top 55 per cent of candidates (0); proximity to Guinea's export strengths in the top 8 per cent (3); Morocco supplies 94 per cent (2).

    USD 18mup 63% on 2022

One line per customs heading. Products Guinea already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.

Made here already, still imported

Scale conversations, not capability ones.

No line where the country already exports well and still imports more than it sells abroad.

How the twenty were chosen

Three scores, each from a field the record carries.

Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 130 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.

Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.

Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.

Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.

What it cannot tell you

A map of where to look.

Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.

Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-02. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.

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